Who would have thought Sandy Koufax a Hall of Famer in 1960 when he was contemplating quitting baseball?

Game Kids Darrell Green Jersey That’s not much experience in the ledger. Securing the first seed is a good deal more important for Boston, then. They’ll want the easiest possible road out of the first round to set themselves up for a tough second-round foe, likely either the Wizards or Raptors.

And homecourt is especially important to the Celtics. They’re 27-9 at home this year, second-best in the East (behind Cleveland), and they have won 14 of their last 15 at TD Garden, which is becoming an increasingly difficult place for opponents.

Who would have thought Sandy Koufax a Hall of Famer in 1960 when he was contemplating quitting baseball? Dennis Eckersley when he looked like a washed-up ace in 1986? Pedro Martinez in 1993 when he was getting traded for Delino DeShields?

But history tells us that some seemingly random player in the majors today will make Cooperstown years from now — as well as at least a few dozen other players.

At any given point, maybe 6 percent of all players who log at least one plate appearance in a season will eventually make the Hall of Fame, while something like 12-14 percent of all plate appearances will be taken by a future Hall of Famer. That’s based on data culled from Baseball-Reference, showing 10 seasons between 1880 and 1970:

Before proceeding, a few quick notes: First, this leaves off at 1970 because it often takes decades to know who will and won’t be enshrined. Players who logged their last game 100 years ago have been known to be enshrined. Cooperstown doesn’t have a statue of limitations, after all, with every non-banned player in baseball history with at least 10 seasons still eligible.

Additionally, out of the years above, 1900 and 1930 can each be treated as outliers and, arguably, not even factored into consideration.
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— July 27, 2017

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